In 2004 I started posting polling data on my website, because in 2000 polling data came up and was used during the legal contest over who would be president.
In 2004 as I posted polling data it became clear that I could select polling data to support whoever I wished; In fact, trying to determine which poll closest to being correct is extremely difficult. Nearly none polling data has been within what they call the margin of error, normally less than 4%. The New Hampshire polling data showed that not even if you average polling data can you predict with certainty who will win, Even the polls that were considered biased predicted Clinton as the winner.
None the less, Barack Obama wishes to use polling data to support his nomination (although he wants the actual New Hampshire vote to be considered and not the polling data that shows Hillary won.)
In the polling data presented this year on this site I have not made calls as to who will win in a number of primaries … as I was not convinced that the polling data would correct show who would win. In New Hampshire I noted ” Polls seem conflicted over if Hillary or Obama is in the lead”
The reality I see today is that polls are conflicted over who would have the best change to win vs McCain … Some compilations show McCain wining over either.
Just the truth from my prospective.
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