Archive for December 28th, 2007

Hot Air

Popularity: 19% [?]

<update> Michigan and Florida were stripped of all democratic delegates due to changing their primary dates before Super Tuesday </update>

Taking a look at the low possibilities for the first six primaries … as unused delegates are not allocated.

    Delegates at stake Clinton 187 Obama 102 Edwards 61
                 
IA 01/03/08 45 34.00% 15 20.00% 9 19.00% 8
NH 01/08/08 22 30.00% 6 32.00% 7 17.00% 3
MI 01/15/08 128 44.70% 57 21.70% 27 13.00% 16
NV 01/19/08 25 41.30% 10 21.30% 5 11.70% 2
SC 01/19/08 45 30.00% 13 30.00% 13 15.00% 6
FL 01/29/08 185 47.00% 86 22.50% 41 14.50% 26
                 
  Delegates at stake Huckabee 64 Romney 21 McCain 9 Rudy 123
                   
IA 41 29.00% 11 26.00% 10 11.50% 4

NH 12 10.60% 1 30.00% 3 25.00% 3 14.50% 1
MI 61 18.80%
19.00%




NV 34 15.30% 5 23.70% 8 7.30% 2 23.70% 8
SC 47 28.00% 47





FL 114





25.30% 114
   







Michigan, a winner takes all, is an important state for either Huckabee or Romney if Rudy indeed takes Florida. another winner takes all state.

Hillary is positioned to have a clear lead going into super Tuesday 2-5-2008

Popularity: 36% [?]